Sunday, February 7, 2021

World Handicap System is Confused About Course Ratings


The World Handicap System (WHS) seems confused about what the Course Rating should measure.  In the WHS’s Rules of Handicapping (p.103) the Course Rating is defined as the expected score of a scratch player.  By “expected score” it is assumed the WHS means “average score.”  The WHS also defines a scratch player as one with a 0.0 Handicap Index (p.15).   To have a 0.0 Handicap Index a player’s low 8 differentials out of 20 must equal 0.0.  In equation form:

Avg. of 8 low differentials = 0.0 = ((Score1 – CR) + (Score2 – CR)…+ (Score8 – CR))/8 x 113/SR

                            CR = Course Rating

                            SR = Slope Rating

For this equation to hold. the average of the player’s 8 low scores must equal the Course Rating.  His expected score, therefore, would be higher than the Course Rating.  So, what is the Course Rating?  Is it a scratch player’s expected score of the average of his 8 best scores?

Complicating matters is the USGA Course Rating Model does not use either of the WHS’s definitions of the Course Rating.  That Model estimates the Course Rating as the average of the better half of scores of a scratch player’s latest 20 scores.  Has the Course Rating Model been updated to reflect the new definition (or definitions) of the Course Rating?  There is no evidence of any change in the Model.

Does any of this affect the accuracy of the Course Rating?  Probably not. A Course Rating is an imaginary number that cannot be measured like height, weight, and temperature.  The Model provides estimates of the Course Rating that should be consistent, but not necessarily accurate.  By that it is meant that if two courses are similar in distance and obstruction, the Course Ratings should be roughly the same.  The confusion about Course Ratings in the WHS will not affect handicaps, but does suggest the WHS needs to hire a better copy editor for its next edition.

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